“Safety Valve” Weighed for US GHG Cap and Trade

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“Safety Valve” Weighed for US  GHG  Cap and Trade

Stakeholders in a potential greenhouse gas cap and trade system in the US have very different opinions of what a successful system would look like.

Questions include how stringent to make the cap, to whom it will apply, and how to allocate allowances in the system—whether to freely allocate them based on prior emissions levels or to auction them to the highest bidder, or some combination of the two. “Unlike most other commodities markets, this one is created wholly out of regulatory cloth. Its success, both in environmental and economic efficiency terms, is entirely dependent on giving adequate market signals to emitters,” says Ian Cuillerier, co-head of the derivatives group with Hunton & Williams (New York).

"Europe's experience with the first phase of the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) from 2005-2007 tells us that a free, over-allocation of credits may create both windfall profits and a lack of incentive to take abatement action, to say nothing of a crash in prices. This experience has led many in this country to wonder whether some form of auctioning may be more appropriate. No matter how the system is designed, we can certainly expect high price volatility in the early years while wrinkles are being ironed out and as information spreads through the market."

A heavily debated issue is whether to incorporate a "safety valve" that would limit the costs to industry. Stakeholders support various allocations and auction options and it's likely that a cap and trade system in the US would include a mix of both."

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